Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Oregon championship prices diverge sharply across Polymarket and Gemini

Rivo's cross-venue arbitrage board, which reads every venue every five minutes, lists the Oregon Ducks college football championship contract as the widest current gap on the biggest markets it tracks, at 0.4 cents on Polymarket against 7 cents on Gemini, a 6.7 point spread, in prices read at 12:58 PM ET on November 4.

A cross-venue pricing gap

The Oregon Ducks college football championship contract had the largest current price difference among the biggest markets tracked by Rivo’s cross-venue arbitrage board, according to Rivo.

The board showed 0.4 cents on Polymarket and 7 cents on Gemini, based on prices collected at 12:58 PM ET on November 4. Rivo listed the spread as 6.7 points.

Those displayed prices imply a difference of 6.6 cents, rather than the reported 6.7-point spread. The supplied summary does not explain that discrepancy.

Rivo’s board checks every venue every five minutes. The report was published on Nov 4, 2026, at 2:15 PM ET, so the cited snapshot predates publication.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The Oregon contract illustrates a substantial venue-to-venue pricing difference, but its ranking applies only to the biggest markets Rivo tracks.
  • The summary provides no contract terms, available trading size or transaction costs. The displayed gap alone therefore does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity.
  • The observation time matters: a five-minute scanning schedule does not establish that the cited prices remained available when the report was published.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Rivo
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Rivo”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related