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Brown leads Husted in Ohio special election market pricing

VegasInsider reports Polymarket tags the race Lean D and Kalshi pairs the 71 percent price with a Democratic margin forecast of 3.7 points for the contest to finish the unexpired term. Ohio polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Sherrod Brown was priced at 71 cents on both Polymarket and Kalshi against Jon Husted in the Ohio Senate special election, according to VegasInsider. The report was published Nov 3, 2026, at 2:45 PM ET.

Two platforms favor Brown

According to VegasInsider, Polymarket classifies the contest as Lean D. Its 71-cent price favors Brown but leaves uncertainty about the outcome.

Kalshi likewise shows a 71 percent price, alongside a forecast Democratic margin of 3.7 points, according to VegasInsider. The winner pricing and margin forecast represent separate measures: the likelihood of victory and the expected size of the advantage.

Poll closing time ahead

The special election will determine who finishes the unexpired Senate term. Ohio polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET, placing the reported market snapshot before the close of voting.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Both platforms price Brown at 71 cents, showing agreement on the favored candidate at the reported snapshot.
  • Polymarket’s Lean D classification and Kalshi’s 3.7-point Democratic margin forecast provide additional context, but neither constitutes an election result.
  • The 2:45 PM ET publication time matters when comparing these prices with any later market readings around Ohio’s 7:30 p.m. ET poll closing.
KalshiPolymarketSenateElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    VegasInsider
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