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Acton leads Ohio governor contracts as Kalshi prices rise six points

DeFi Rate reports prices observed between 12:04 PM and 12:12 PM ET on November 3 put Democrat Amy Acton at 83 percent on average for Ohio governor, at 84 percent on Kalshi and 83 percent on Polymarket, against Republican Vivek Ramaswamy at 18 percent. Acton gained 6 points in a week on Kalshi, and the market drew about 1 million dollars in combined 24-hour volume, 872,000 dollars of it on Kalshi.

According to DeFi Rate, Democrat Amy Acton’s average market-implied probability of winning the Ohio governor race stood at 83 percent on November 3. Republican Vivek Ramaswamy was priced at 18 percent.

The observations covered 12:04 PM to 12:12 PM ET on November 3. The report was published on Nov 3, 2026, at 12:15 PM ET, making the figures a snapshot rather than a final election outcome.

Platform prices and trading activity

Acton was priced at 84 percent on Kalshi and 83 percent on Polymarket, according to DeFi Rate. Her Kalshi price had increased by 6 points over the preceding week.

Combined 24-hour trading volume was about 1 million dollars, including 872,000 dollars on Kalshi. That placed most of the reported trading activity on Kalshi, where Acton’s price was also slightly higher.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Both platforms priced Acton as the clear favorite during the observation window, with a one-point difference between their readings.
  • The 6-point weekly increase describes Acton’s movement on Kalshi; the supplied figures do not establish a corresponding weekly change on Polymarket.
  • Kalshi accounted for most of the combined 24-hour volume. These prices reflect market expectations, not a confirmed result.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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