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Cooper holds overwhelming market edge in North Carolina Senate contest

Kalshi reports Michael Whatley is priced at 2.5 percent in the race to succeed retiring Republican Thom Tillis. The market resolves on the winner of the November 3 general election.

Roy Cooper was priced at 97.5 percent in Kalshi’s North Carolina Senate market, according to Kalshi’s update published Nov 3, 2026, at 2:45 PM ET.

Michael Whatley stood at 2.5 percent, according to Kalshi. The two prices show a sharply lopsided market assessment of the race.

Senate succession draws $7.27 million in trading

The market had recorded $7.27 million in trading, according to Kalshi. That figure measures trading activity, rather than votes cast in the election.

The contest will determine the successor to retiring Republican Thom Tillis. The market resolves on the winner of the November 3 general election.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Cooper’s 97.5 percent price indicates an overwhelming market favorite, but it is not an election result.
  • Whatley’s 2.5 percent price reflects a small remaining chance in the market’s assessment; settlement depends on who wins the general election.
KalshiSenateElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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