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Burrow’s MVP pricing diverges most as Allen leads both venues

WinDaily's Kalshi against Polymarket comparison board lists the Joe Burrow MVP contract as the widest current price gap at 3.9 points, while Josh Allen leads the MVP market overall at 29 cents on Polymarket and 27 cents on Kalshi.

Joe Burrow has the largest current price difference between Kalshi and Polymarket in the NFL MVP comparison, according to WinDailySports. His contract is priced at 17 cents on Polymarket and 21 cents on Kalshi.

Burrow shows the biggest venue split

WinDaily’s comparison board lists Burrow’s cross-venue gap at 3.9 points. The displayed whole-cent prices differ by 4 cents; the supplied material does not explain the distinction between those figures.

The update, published Nov 4, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET, identifies Burrow as the widest pricing gap—not the overall MVP market leader.

Allen remains ahead overall

Josh Allen leads the MVP market overall, according to WinDailySports, with prices of 29 cents on Polymarket and 27 cents on Kalshi. Unlike Burrow, Allen is priced higher on Polymarket than on Kalshi.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Venue differences run in both directions: Kalshi prices Burrow higher, while Polymarket assigns Allen the higher price.
  • The largest gap is separate from market leadership: Burrow tops the comparison board for price divergence, while Allen leads the MVP market overall.
  • The snapshot has limits: The supplied material does not include liquidity, fees or settlement terms, so the price differences alone do not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity.
KalshiPolymarketNFLInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    WinDailySports
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