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Astra Model 6.1 launch odds for October collapse to 0.1 percent on Polymarket

Polymarket traders lowered the chance that the next Astra Model 6.1 is released by October 31, 2026 to 0.1 percent, down 15.4 points in 24 hours. The market has 181,000 dollars in lifetime volume, with 11,000 dollars traded in the last day, and resolves on October 31, 2026.

Release odds fall to 0.1 percent

Polymarket’s market on whether the next Astra Model 6.1 will be released by October 31, 2026 fell to 0.1 percent, according to PredictionBubbles. The implied probability declined 15.4 points over 24 hours.

The report, published on Oct 31, 2026 at 8:45 AM ET, places that move on the same date as the release deadline and the market’s scheduled resolution.

Trading activity and deadline

The contract has recorded 181,000 dollars in lifetime trading volume, according to PredictionBubbles. Of that total, 11,000 dollars changed hands during the last day.

The figures show traders assigning almost no probability to a qualifying release by the deadline. The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the decline or provide an official release update.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Deadline proximity matters: The release cutoff and scheduled resolution both fall on October 31, 2026, making the timing of any qualifying announcement central to the outcome.
  • Price is not confirmation: The 0.1 percent reading reflects market expectations, not a verified determination that the release will miss the deadline.
  • Volume provides context: The 11,000 dollars traded in the last day accompanies a 15.4-point decline, but the supplied figures do not establish why traders repriced the contract.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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