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Polymarket odds for year-end Astra Model 6.1 release drop to 76.5 percent

PredictionBubbles, reading Polymarket prices on October 31, prices a next Astra Model 6.1 or later release by December 31, 2026 at 76.5 percent, down 8.5 points in 24 hours. The market has traded 122,000 dollars over its life, with 3,000 dollars in the last day, and resolves on December 31, 2026.

Release odds decline

The Polymarket contract on whether the next Astra Model 6.1 or later will be released by December 31, 2026 stood at 76.5 percent on October 31, according to PredictionBubbles. That was down 8.5 percentage points over 24 hours.

The reading appeared in a report published Oct 31, 2026 at 7:15 AM ET. Despite the decline, the market continued to price a release by the deadline as more likely than not.

Trading and deadline

According to PredictionBubbles, the contract recorded 122,000 dollars in lifetime trading volume, including 3,000 dollars during the last day. Those figures distinguish the market’s cumulative activity from trading during the period of the reported price drop.

The market resolves on December 31, 2026, also the stated release deadline. The supplied summary does not identify a reason for the decline or provide an update on the model’s release plans.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 8.5-point fall marks a shift toward lower expectations for a qualifying release, while the 76.5 percent price still favors that outcome.
  • The 122,000 dollars in lifetime volume should not be confused with the 3,000 dollars traded over the last day.
  • The reported price movement alone does not establish that the release timetable has changed.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
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    https://predictionbubbles.com
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