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Netanyahu exit contract leads trading volume in World Monitor snapshot

World Monitor, updated on the morning of November 2, tracks 50 Polymarket and Kalshi markets on geopolitics, economics and technology with 495.1 million dollars traded across the tracked set. The most traded is Netanyahu out by end of 2026 on Polymarket at 20.5 percent with 125.0 million dollars traded, followed by whether the United States will invade Iran before 2027 at 17.5 percent with 76.3 million dollars traded.

World Monitor’s morning update on November 2, 2026, places the Polymarket contract on Netanyahu being out by the end of 2026 first by trading volume among the markets it tracks. The contract was priced at 20.5 percent, with 125.0 million dollars traded.

Two geopolitical questions lead the tracked set

The next-largest contract by trading volume asks whether the United States will invade Iran before 2027. It was priced at 17.5 percent, with 76.3 million dollars traded, according to World Monitor.

Both contracts therefore combined substantial trading volume with prices below 50 percent. Their volume rankings describe trading activity within the tracked set, not the likelihood that either event will occur.

Coverage spans two platforms

World Monitor tracks 50 markets across Polymarket and Kalshi, covering geopolitics, economics and technology. Trading volume across that set totaled 495.1 million dollars in the morning update.

The figures provide a snapshot rather than a price trend. The supplied summary includes no earlier prices or volumes against which to measure changes.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Volume and probability tell different stories: The Netanyahu contract led the tracked set with 125.0 million dollars traded, while its price stood at 20.5 percent.
  • The ranking has a defined scope: World Monitor’s comparison covers 50 tracked markets, not necessarily every contract on Polymarket and Kalshi.
  • Timing matters: The Netanyahu contract concerns the end of 2026, while the Iran contract asks about an invasion before 2027. Both prices reflect the November 2 morning snapshot.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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    World Monitor
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