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Osborn slides to 9 cents as Nebraska Senate pricing shifts

PredictionMarketPicks reports Nebraska independent Dan Osborn falling to 9 cents on Kalshi at 10:31 p.m. ET, down from 13 cents at 9:55 p.m. and 70 cents earlier in the evening, as Republican Pete Ricketts firmed as the board's closest remaining Senate hold.

Nebraska independent Dan Osborn’s Kalshi price fell to 9 cents at 10:31 p.m. ET on Nov 3, 2026, according to PredictionMarketPicks. The move marked a sharp reversal from 70 cents earlier in the evening.

Nebraska’s late repricing

Osborn had traded at 13 cents at 9:55 p.m. ET, putting the subsequent decline at 4 cents over 36 minutes. From the earlier evening level, the total drop reached 61 cents.

Republican Pete Ricketts strengthened as the board’s closest remaining Senate hold, according to PredictionMarketPicks. The summary did not provide a corresponding Kalshi price for Ricketts.

A market snapshot, not a result

The update was published on Nov 3, 2026, at 11:00 PM ET, with its latest quoted price drawn from the 10:31 p.m. ET check-in. The supplied material describes market pricing rather than a declared election outcome and provides no vote totals or explanation for the shift.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The sequence—70 cents earlier in the evening, 13 cents at 9:55 p.m. ET and 9 cents at 10:31 p.m. ET—shows a substantial weakening in market expectations for Osborn.
  • The timestamps matter: 9 cents was the latest observation cited, not necessarily the price at publication.
  • Without vote counts, trading-volume data or a stated catalyst, the summary does not establish what drove the repricing or whether it would persist.
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