Kalshi pricing edges higher for Atlantic major hurricane threshold in 2026

Kalshi’s contract on whether the Atlantic will record more than two major hurricanes in 2026 was priced at five cents, according to PredictionMarketPicks. That marked a one-cent increase over 24 hours.

Price and activity snapshot

The weather contract recorded 1,141 contracts traded over the 24-hour period, according to the PredictionMarketPicks leaderboard. Open interest stood at 23,000 contracts.

The figures came from a leaderboard snapshot taken at 1:05 AM EST on November 1. The report was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 1:45 AM ET.

Limits of the available information

The supplied material provides a price and activity snapshot but does not identify a reason for the move. It also contains no hurricane observations, forecasts or contract settlement rules with which to assess the underlying outcome.

What it means for prediction markets

• The five-cent price remained low despite the one-cent increase; the snapshot establishes a move higher, not its cause.
• The 1,141 contracts traded in 24 hours and 23,000 contracts in open interest measure different aspects of market activity, rather than providing independent evidence of hurricane risk.
• The threshold is more than two major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026. Without settlement rules or weather data, the supplied figures alone do not establish how close that condition is to being met.