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Mississippi Rebels championship pricing diverges across Polymarket US and Gemini

The gap was among the widest Rivo tracked in its November 4 reading at 9:10 PM ET. Rivo reads prices across Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini every five minutes to surface cross-venue disagreements on the same outcome.

The Mississippi Rebels college football championship contract traded at 4 cents on Polymarket US and 10 cents on Gemini, a 6-point difference, according to Rivo.

The comparison comes from Rivo’s November 4, 2026 reading at 9:10 PM ET. The report was published on Nov 4, 2026 at 9:45 PM ET.

A sizable cross-venue disagreement

The Rebels contract showed one of the widest gaps in that reading, according to Rivo. The supplied summary does not identify the other contracts in the comparison or provide their price differences.

Rivo checks prices across Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini every five minutes to identify disagreements between venues on the same outcome. The supplied Rebels comparison includes prices only for Polymarket US and Gemini.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Venue prices differed materially: Gemini’s 10-cent price was 6 points above the 4-cent price on Polymarket US for the Mississippi Rebels championship outcome.
  • The observation is time-specific: The figures describe the November 4 reading at 9:10 PM ET, not necessarily prices at publication or afterward.
  • Execution details are absent: The supplied material does not include liquidity, fees or contract settlement terms, so the reported gap alone does not establish an executable trading opportunity.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    Rivo
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