Los Angeles R win the Pro Football NFC Championship priced at 4.0% on Kalshi, down 5 points, on $1.1M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the NFC Championship contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has zero…
The Kalshi contract on Los Angeles R winning the Pro Football NFC Championship was priced at 4.0%, down 5 probability points, with $1.1M traded, in the supplied Oct 24, 2026 · 2:54 AM ET update. According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among declining sports markets on its movers board.
A decline measured over 24 hours
PredictionBubbles ranks moves over a 24-hour window using changes in probability points, rather than relative percentages. The reported decline therefore describes a 5-point reduction in the contract’s market-implied probability—not a 5% relative fall.
The supplied board snapshot used venue data read on 24 Oct 2026, 06:36 UTC. According to PredictionBubbles, prices come from Polymarket and Kalshi, with the board refreshed every 15 minutes.
What the listing establishes
The board’s ranking universe comprised 2,020 markets lasting longer than 14 days. PredictionBubbles excludes same-week fixtures and requires open markets to have a valid 24-hour price comparison, limiting the influence of short-lived contracts moving toward settlement.
The supplied summary places the NFC Championship contract in a separate sports category rather than as the board’s lead mover. Neither the summary nor the accompanying source text identifies a specific event behind its decline or provides contract-level order-book depth. The $1.1M traded figure supplies activity context, but does not establish how much liquidity was available when the price moved.
What it means for prediction markets
- The signal is a lower market estimate: The 4.0% price and 5-point decline capture a repricing, not independent evidence about the eventual championship result.
- Volume and liquidity are different: The reported $1.1M traded does not, by itself, show whether the price change occurred in a deep or thin order book.
- The ranking measures movement: PredictionBubbles ranks by absolute probability-point changes; trading volume does not alter that ordering.
- The cause remains unspecified: The supplied material supports reporting the move, but not attributing it to team news, a game result or a particular trading decision.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026 priced at 49.0% on Polymarket, up 2 points, on $275K traded
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31 priced at 5.5% on Polymarket, down 9.5 points, on $203K traded
- 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027 priced at 9.6% on Polymarket, down 4.1 points, on $223K traded
- Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028 priced at 23.5% on Polymarket, up 4 points, on $156K traded
- Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 priced at 78.0% on Kalshi, down 5 points, on $1.0M traded
- Sal Stewart win NL ROTY priced at 83.0% on Kalshi, up 5 points, on $820K traded