Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028 priced at 23.5% on Polymarket, up 4 points, on $156K traded

Polymarket’s contract on whether Louisiana will enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028 was priced at 23.5%, up 4 probability points over 24 hours, with $156K traded. According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among the upward movers in its political/election category.

A higher price, but still below even odds

The increase reflects traders assigning a higher probability to a Louisiana moratorium within the contract’s deadline. Even after the move, the 23.5% price leaves enactment as the less likely outcome in the market’s pricing.

The supplied material does not identify a legislative development, official announcement or other catalyst for the change. It establishes a repricing, rather than evidence that Louisiana has taken a specific step toward a moratorium.

How the move is measured

According to PredictionBubbles, the board measures changes over 24 hours in probability points, not relative percentages. Its snapshot drew on venue prices on 24 Oct 2026, 07:06 UTC, and the page updates every 15 minutes.

The board ranks eligible markets from Polymarket and Kalshi by the size of their probability changes; trading volume does not determine placement. The Louisiana contract’s $156K traded provides context, but the supplied material does not establish its order-book depth or explain how much trading drove the increase.

What it means for prediction markets

• The direction changed, not the favored outcome: A 4-point rise brought the moratorium contract to 23.5%, still below even odds.
• The deadline matters: The question concerns enactment by December 31, 2028, rather than whether Louisiana might impose a moratorium at any later date.
• The catalyst remains unverified: The movers listing documents a price change, but the supplied reporting does not connect it to a specific policy event.