Lens vs. Sporting CP is the board's widest same-match venue split: Sporting at 68c on Kalshi vs. 55c on Polymarket on $1.4M traded
The 13-point gap on the second-most-traded match on DeFi Rate's board contrasts with the locked 77c pricing on the lead match, with the total Over 1.5 goals at 63c — a…
Sporting prices diverge across venues
Sporting CP was priced at 68c on Kalshi and 55c on Polymarket for its match against Lens in the Oct 13, 2026 · 2:24 PM ET snapshot of DeFi Rate’s board. The 13-point difference was the board’s largest same-match pricing gap between venues.
Lens vs. Sporting CP ranked second by trading volume, with $1.4M traded. That combination put a substantial venue disagreement on one of the board’s busiest matches.
The contrast was with the leading match by volume, where prices matched at 77c. The supplied summary also listed the Over 1.5 goals market at 63c, but its truncated text offered no further explanation of that price.
According to DeFi Rate, Galatasaray vs Barcelona traded on 2 venues in the last 24 hours. The supplied source excerpt did not provide its prices or volume, or establish whether it was the leading match referenced in the summary.
What it means for prediction markets
- Venue choice materially changes the displayed price: Sporting CP’s 68c Kalshi price stood 13 points above its 55c Polymarket price.
- Volume did not eliminate disagreement: The board’s second-most-traded match showed its widest same-match venue gap, while the leading match had matching 77c prices.
- The gap alone is not enough to establish an executable opportunity: The supplied material does not include contract terms, available depth or transaction costs.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Defirate (defirate.com)https://defirate.com/odds/
Date & time:
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Polymarket crypto upside contracts slide in a pack: Hyperliquid $100 in 2026 down 13 points to 48%
- Kansas Senate odds tighten: Marshall falls to 62% on Kalshi as outside money pours in
- Infiniti Briefing
- Putin out as Russia president by Dec. 31 priced at 4.0c, up 1.2 points
- Warnock 2028 Democratic nomination long shot draws $335.6K at 1.7c
- Minnesota Senate: polls say toss-up, markets say comfortable Democratic hold