Putin out as Russia president by Dec. 31 priced at 4.0c, up 1.2 points

Putin exit contract edges higher

Polymarket’s contract on Putin leaving Russia’s presidency by December 31, 2026, was priced at 4.0c in the October 13, 2026 update published at 2:54 PM ET. The price rose 1.2 points, but continued to assign a low probability to a departure before year-end.

The accompanying market summary reported $261.3K traded and $592.1K in liquidity. Those figures describe market activity and available liquidity, rather than evidence that a leadership change is imminent.

A price move without an identified catalyst

According to PolymarketTrader, the Putin contract appeared in its watchlist of markets with notable 24-hour price changes. The page’s underlying Polymarket Gamma API snapshot was generated on October 13, 2026, at 13:42 UTC, earlier than the publication update.

The supplied material identifies no political development behind the repricing and does not include the contract’s detailed resolution rules. It therefore supports reporting a change in market expectations, not a conclusion about why those expectations shifted.

What it means for prediction markets

• The outcome remains a long shot: The 4.0c price indicates that a Putin departure by December 31, 2026, remains a low-priced outcome despite the 1.2-point increase.
• Activity is not confirmation: The reported $261.3K traded and $592.1K liquidity provide market context but do not establish a political catalyst.
• Timing and terms matter: The source snapshot predates the publication update, and the supplied material does not establish precisely how the contract would resolve.