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Bottoms projected to take Georgia governorship as Kalshi price reaches 99.5 cents

PredictionMarketPicks reports CNN and NBC News projected Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms as the winner of the Georgia governor race over Republican Rick Jackson at 9:17 p.m. ET, flipping the office for Democrats, with Kalshi pricing Bottoms at 99.5 cents. The Associated Press had not called the race as of that update.

CNN and NBC News projected Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms to win the Georgia governor race over Republican Rick Jackson at 9:17 p.m. ET, according to PredictionMarketPicks.

The projected result would shift the governor’s office to Democrats. PredictionMarketPicks published its report on Nov 3, 2026, at 10:00 PM ET.

Network projections and market pricing

Kalshi was pricing Bottoms at 99.5 cents, according to PredictionMarketPicks, placing the market close to its upper price limit alongside the network projections.

The Associated Press had not called the race as of that update. That distinction leaves the CNN and NBC News projections separate from any subsequent AP determination.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Pricing strongly favored Bottoms: The reported Kalshi price was 99.5 cents, though a market price is not itself an election call.
  • The reporting source matters: CNN and NBC News had projected a winner; AP had not called the contest as of the update.
  • Settlement remains a separate question: The supplied report does not specify the contract’s resolution rules, so the network projections alone do not establish whether it could settle.
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