Kalshi prices the Dolphins as the likeliest last winless team to get a win

Three teams enter Week 6 at 0-5: Miami, Tennessee and the Los Angeles Chargers. According to covers.com, Kalshi’s market on the last team to record a win makes the Dolphins the most likely to remain winless longest.

Miami leads the market

The snapshot published Oct 13, 2026, at 9:39 AM ET puts Miami at 50% and Tennessee at 29%. That leaves the Dolphins 21 percentage points ahead of the Titans in the reported pricing.

The distinction is important: this market concerns which team will be the last to earn a victory, not which winless team is most likely to win next. Miami’s higher probability therefore points toward a longer wait for its first win relative to the other teams.

A limited pricing snapshot

The available covers.com summary identifies the Los Angeles Chargers as the third 0-5 team but does not provide their market probability. With the full source text unavailable, the supplied material offers no further detail on pricing, upcoming opponents or contract settlement terms.

What it means for prediction markets

• Miami is the reported leader, not a certainty. Its 50% probability puts it ahead of Tennessee’s 29%, while leaving substantial uncertainty about the outcome.
• The contract’s direction matters. A higher price here reflects a greater likelihood of being the last team to win—not a stronger chance of an immediate victory.
• The comparison is incomplete. Without a reported Chargers price or settlement terms, the snapshot supports only a limited assessment of the market.