Anthropic valuation market centers on $1.50-$1.75T at 74%

The leading valuation bracket

Polymarket’s nine-outcome market for Anthropic’s valuation at the end of October 2026 assigns 74% to the $1.50–$1.75 trillion bracket, according to the platform’s snapshot published Oct 13, 2026, at 9:39 AM ET.

According to Polymarket, pricing is concentrated across the broader $1.25–$2.25 trillion range as IPO preparations and secondary-market trading shape expectations. The leading bracket sits above both Anthropic’s last priced funding round and the secondary valuations cited by the platform.

Funding benchmark and IPO expectations

Anthropic raised a $65 billion Series H in May 2026 at a $965 billion post-money valuation, according to Polymarket. Subsequent marks from secondary platforms and indices have ranged from roughly $1.1 trillion to $1.36 trillion.

The platform reports that Anthropic’s revenue run-rate reached $65 billion by July 2026, compared with $4.6 billion in 2025. That expansion provides a backdrop for expectations of a higher valuation.

The counterweights include heavy operating losses, $518 billion in multi-year compute commitments and analyst resistance to IPO targets above $2 trillion, according to Polymarket. These factors leave execution and margins central to the valuation debate.

A planned Nasdaq listing is being eyed for November, with possible anchor involvement from Nvidia under discussion, the platform reports. That timing puts the market’s end-of-October horizon ahead of the contemplated listing.

What it means for prediction markets

• The 74% price identifies $1.50–$1.75 trillion as the clear leading outcome, but it is a market-implied probability—not an established company valuation.
• The favored bracket implies a step up from the $965 billion funding-round benchmark and the roughly $1.1–$1.36 trillion secondary marks.
• The October endpoint matters: traders are pricing a valuation before the planned November listing, rather than necessarily predicting an IPO price.
• Revenue growth and IPO preparations support higher expectations, while losses, compute commitments and skepticism toward $2 trillion-plus targets provide competing signals.