Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Kalshi’s midterm toss-ups span 13 races, with Iowa narrowly divided

Covers reports Kalshi counts 13 midterm races as toss-ups, two in the Senate and 11 in the House, with Iowa Senate priced at 52 percent for Ashley Hinson against 48 percent for Josh Turek on 7.7 million dollars in trades and the Kansas Senate race priced at 50 percent for each candidate.

Kalshi has 13 midterm races in toss-up territory, with neither candidate above 60 percent in any of those contests, according to Covers. The count includes two Senate races and 11 House races.

Iowa edges toward Hinson; Kansas remains even

In Iowa’s Senate race, Ashley Hinson stands at 52 percent against Josh Turek at 48 percent, according to Covers. The market has recorded 7.7 million dollars in trades.

That pricing leaves Hinson with a narrow advantage rather than a decisive lead. Iowa is one of the two Senate contests included in Kalshi’s toss-up count.

The Kansas Senate market is evenly divided, with each candidate priced at 50 percent, according to Covers. The remaining 11 toss-ups are House contests; the supplied summary does not identify those races or provide their individual prices.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Senate uncertainty takes two forms: Iowa shows a 52–48 percent split, while Kansas is priced at 50 percent for each candidate.
  • House races dominate the count: Of the 13 toss-ups, 11 are House contests, although the summary offers no race-level detail for those markets.
  • Trading volume is distinct from conviction: Iowa’s 7.7 million dollars in trades accompanies a closely divided price, not an overwhelming favorite.
KalshiSenateMidtermsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Coverscovers.com
    Publisher
    https://www.covers.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Covers”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related