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Kalshi’s 2034 GDP growth band drops sharply to 7 cents

The 2034 growth band was Kalshi's second-biggest price move in the latest BotForKalshi snapshot, falling from 49.5 cents to 7 cents against the previous quote. The contract pays out on where U.S. real GDP growth lands for 2034.

A Kalshi contract tied to U.S. real GDP growth of 1.1 to 1.5 percent in 2034 fell to 7 cents from 49.5 cents, according to BotForKalshi.

The 42.5-cent decline was measured against the previous quote. The update was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 4:15 PM ET.

A large move in a narrow growth range

The contract recorded the second-biggest price move in the latest BotForKalshi snapshot. That ranking describes its relative move within the snapshot, rather than over a specified trading period.

The payout depends on where U.S. real GDP growth lands for 2034. The quoted decline therefore concerns one growth band, not the full range of possible economic outcomes for that year.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The move from 49.5 cents to 7 cents marks a substantial repricing of the 1.1-to-1.5-percent outcome.
  • The summary does not provide prices for other growth bands, so it does not establish whether expectations shifted toward stronger or weaker growth.
  • No trading volume, liquidity information or catalyst is supplied, limiting conclusions about what drove the change.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    BotForKalshi
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