Kalshi traders heavily favor tech layoffs exceeding 2025 levels
PredictionBubbles lists the tech layoffs contract as the most traded market in its other category, priced at 94.8 percent with 31.5 million dollars traded on Kalshi.
PredictionBubbles lists a Kalshi contract on whether tech layoffs in 2026 will exceed those in 2025 at 94.8 percent, with 31.5 million dollars traded.
The figures appeared in a Nov 5, 2026 update published at 5:30 PM ET. The price signals a strong market expectation that the contract’s condition will be met, rather than confirmation of the outcome.
Trading activity leads its category
According to PredictionBubbles, the tech layoffs contract is the most traded market in its other category. That ranking applies to the category, not necessarily to Kalshi as a whole.
The supplied summary provides no layoff totals for either year, historical contract prices or settlement criteria. It therefore offers a snapshot of market expectations and trading activity, but no basis for independently assessing the underlying employment comparison.
What it means for prediction markets
- Strongly directional pricing: At 94.8 percent, the contract heavily favors tech layoffs in 2026 exceeding those in 2025, without making that outcome certain.
- Category-leading activity: The 31.5 million dollars traded places it first in PredictionBubbles’ other category.
- Limited context: Without prior prices, layoff counts or settlement criteria, the snapshot cannot establish how expectations have changed or how the final outcome will be determined.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
- Publisher
- https://predictionbubbles.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PredictionBubbles”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- October prediction market volume rises 58.7 percent to a record 121.28 billion dollars, with Kalshi combination contracts up 88 percent to 66.78 billion dollars, VIP Grinders reports
- November 5 volume reaches $3.81B so far across venues, with Kalshi accounting for $3.35B of it
- Mary Peltola is priced at 95 cents on Polymarket and 93.8 cents on Kalshi in the Alaska Senate race, with a 637-vote lead at 70 percent counted, Action Network reports
- Kalshi lists 30 fifteen-minute market series with 20 trading, and Bitcoin accounts for 71 percent of the contracts traded across them, PredictionMarketPicks reports
- Hudson River Trading begins trading on Kalshi as a market maker, focusing on short-term financial markets, Gambling Insider reports
- Prediction markets trade 5.58 billion dollars on November 4 across nine venues, with Kalshi accounting for 4.47 billion dollars, DeFi Rate reports