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Kalshi’s top 2031 GDP growth band drops sharply to 7 cents

BotForKalshi ranks the long-dated economics contract among the biggest price moves on Kalshi in its latest board reading, down from 45.5 cents against the previous quote. The move reprices the highest growth band in the 2031 GDP market.

A Kalshi contract tied to U.S. real GDP growth in 2031 finishing between 4.1 and 4.5 percent fell to 7 cents from 45.5 cents, according to BotForKalshi. The 38.5-cent decline sharply repriced the market’s highest growth band.

A large move in a distant economic outcome

BotForKalshi placed the long-dated economics contract among Kalshi’s biggest price changes in its latest board reading. The update was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 2:45 PM ET.

The comparison is against the previous quote. The supplied reporting does not specify the time elapsed between those quotes or identify a catalyst for the decline.

What the price change establishes

The move concerns one defined range for 2031 growth, rather than the GDP market as a whole. No prices for the other growth bands were provided, leaving the broader distribution of market expectations unclear.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 4.1–4.5 percent outcome is priced substantially lower than at the previous quote, marking a pronounced shift in this contract.
  • A decline in the highest growth band alone does not establish which alternative outcome gained support.
  • Without trading-volume, liquidity or other contract-price data, the reported move offers limited evidence about how broadly held or durable the repricing may be.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    BotForKalshi
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