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Democratic sweep leads Kalshi congressional pricing as volume tops $106 million

Kalshi reports its Congress balance of power market has traded 106,448,681 dollars in volume, and as of 3:44 a.m. ET on November 3 it priced a Democratic sweep at 75 percent, a Democratic House with a Republican Senate at 20 percent, and a Republican sweep at 6 percent.

Kalshi’s Congress balance of power market recorded $106,448,681 in trading volume, according to Kalshi. A Democratic sweep was the highest-priced outcome in the Election Day morning snapshot.

Congressional control pricing

As of 3:44 a.m. ET on November 3, 2026, the market priced a Democratic sweep at 75 percent, according to Kalshi.

A Democratic House with a Republican Senate was priced at 20 percent. A Republican sweep stood at 6 percent.

The update was published on Nov 3, 2026, at 5:45 AM ET. Its pricing snapshot therefore reflects an earlier point that morning, rather than prices at publication.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The reported prices placed a Democratic sweep ahead of both divided control through a Democratic House and Republican Senate, and a Republican sweep.
  • The three figures total 101 percent. The supplied material does not explain that discrepancy.
  • The $106,448,681 volume figure measures reported trading activity; it is not a separate probability estimate or confirmation of an election outcome.
KalshiSenateCongressElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    Kalshikalshi.com
    Source URL
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