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NFL early slate shows aligned platforms but sharply diverging totals

Action Network reports the Jets-Chiefs total moved the other way, rising 6 points from 41.5 to 47.5, the sharpest total moves in the seven-game 1 PM ET window. Dallas is favored at Indianapolis, priced near 69 to 70 percent on Kalshi and 70 percent on Polymarket.

Kalshi and Polymarket prices for Sunday’s NFL Week 9 early slate are within a point or two of each other, according to Action Network. The larger changes are in game totals, where two matchups have moved substantially in opposite directions.

Action Network’s report, published Nov 6, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, identifies Giants-Eagles and Jets-Chiefs as having the sharpest total moves among the seven games in the 1 PM ET window.

Totals move apart as Dallas remains favored

The Giants-Eagles total has fallen 6 points to 38.5. Jets-Chiefs has moved the other way, climbing 6 points from 41.5 to 47.5, according to Action Network. Those equal-sized changes leave notably different scoring expectations for the two games.

Dallas is favored at Indianapolis on both prediction-market platforms. Kalshi puts Dallas near 69 to 70 percent, while Polymarket prices it at 70 percent, according to Action Network—a narrow difference between the platforms’ assessments.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Cross-platform pricing is close: The reported gap of a point or two across the early slate suggests broadly similar assessments on Kalshi and Polymarket.
  • Totals show the largest reported shifts: Giants-Eagles fell 6 points while Jets-Chiefs rose 6 points. These are changes in scoring totals, not percentage-point changes in win probabilities.
  • Dallas has consistent favorite status: Its pricing near 69 to 70 percent on Kalshi and 70 percent on Polymarket leaves little separation between the two markets.
KalshiPolymarketNFLInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Action Networkactionnetwork.com
    Publisher
    https://www.actionnetwork.com
    Source URL
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