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Democratic sweep pricing climbs as Kalshi’s Senate outlook shifts

PredictionMarketPicks reports Kalshi's POWER-28 trifecta board moved more than any single candidate contract after the midterms, with the Republican sweep falling 6 cents to 8 cents. Most of the repricing sat in the Senate leg, where the contracts implying a Democratic Senate added up to 82 cents on November 4 against 61 cents on November 3.

Kalshi’s POWER-28 trifecta board saw a larger post-midterm move than any individual candidate contract, according to PredictionMarketPicks. The Democratic sweep contract for 2028 rose 12 cents to 67 cents.

The Republican sweep contract moved in the opposite direction, declining 6 cents to 8 cents. PredictionMarketPicks reported the changes on Nov 4, 2026, at 10:15 PM ET.

Senate pricing drives the adjustment

Most of the repricing was concentrated in the Senate component, according to PredictionMarketPicks. Contracts whose outcomes imply a Democratic Senate totaled 82 cents on November 4, compared with 61 cents on November 3.

That 21-cent increase in the combined pricing places the Senate outlook at the center of the board’s shift. The supplied figures describe a broader change in party-control pricing rather than a move confined to one candidate.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The Democratic sweep contract’s rise to 67 cents and the Republican sweep contract’s fall to 8 cents show the direction of the post-midterm adjustment on POWER-28.
  • The Democratic Senate total is an aggregation of contracts implying that outcome, not the quoted price of a single contract.
  • The reported concentration of repricing in the Senate component makes that part of the board important for interpreting the trifecta move.
KalshiSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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