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Harbaugh leads Kalshi coaching award market as trading reaches $6.9 million

DOXA ranks the market among the most liquid sports markets right now on its live board updated on November 7, with Harbaugh leading the Coach of the Year pricing on Kalshi.

John Harbaugh leads Kalshi’s Coach of the Year market at an implied probability of 27 percent, according to DOXA. The market has recorded 6.9 million dollars in trading.

DOXA’s live board, updated on November 7, ranks the contract among the most liquid sports markets currently available. The report was published on Nov 7, 2026, at 5:15 PM ET.

A leader without majority backing

Harbaugh’s position puts him ahead of the other candidates in the market’s pricing, according to DOXA. Still, a 27 percent implied probability leaves him well below an even chance of winning.

The supplied summary does not identify the other candidates or their prices. It therefore establishes Harbaugh’s lead but does not show how large the gap is between him and his closest challenger.

Trading activity and its limits

The 6.9 million dollars traded provides a measure of activity around the award market. DOXA’s liquidity ranking also places it among the more active sports markets on its live board.

The summary does not include order-book depth, bid-ask spreads or a price history. Those omissions limit what can be concluded about current execution conditions or whether Harbaugh’s chances have recently risen or fallen.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Leading is not the same as likely to win: Harbaugh tops the pricing at 27 percent, but that remains below a majority probability.
  • Activity is substantial, but detail is limited: The reported 6.9 million dollars traded does not by itself establish current order-book depth.
  • This is a snapshot, not a trend: Without earlier prices or rival candidates’ odds, the report cannot establish momentum or the size of Harbaugh’s lead.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    DOXA
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