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Weidel chancellor contract drops to 39 cents on Kalshi

BotForKalshi lists the contract among the biggest quote-to-quote moves on Kalshi, down from a previous quote of 63.5 cents, with an 8 cent spread, in exchange data as of 2:14 PM Pacific on November 7.

A Kalshi contract on Alice Weidel becoming Chancellor of Germany after the next federal election fell 24.5 cents to 39 cents, according to BotForKalshi.

The previous quote was 63.5 cents. BotForKalshi placed the contract among Kalshi’s largest quote-to-quote moves.

Snapshot of the move

The exchange data were current as of 2:14 PM Pacific on November 7. The update was published on Nov 7, 2026, at 5:15 PM ET.

The snapshot also showed an 8 cent spread. The supplied summary did not identify a catalyst for the decline or specify how much time elapsed between the two quotes.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The lower quote signals a downward repricing of the specified outcome: Weidel becoming Chancellor after the next federal election.
  • The 8 cent spread is relevant when interpreting the 39 cent quote; the summary does not identify that quote as a completed trade.
  • The quote-to-quote comparison establishes the size of the move, but not its cause or whether it persisted beyond the snapshot.
KalshiElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    BotForKalshi
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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