Polymarket’s biggest culture contract prices Jesus Christ’s return at 1.3 percent
The contract is the largest of the 50 open culture markets on the board by lifetime volume, with 982,000 dollars in open interest. It resolves on January 1, 2027.
A Polymarket contract on whether Jesus Christ will return before 2027 is priced at 1.3 percent, according to PredictionBubbles. The market has recorded 66.8 million dollars in trading volume.
Volume leads the culture board
The contract ranks first by lifetime volume among the board’s 50 open culture markets, according to PredictionBubbles. That ranking measures accumulated trading activity, rather than the probability assigned to the outcome.
Open interest stands at 982,000 dollars. This is a separate measure from the 66.8 million dollars traded over the contract’s lifetime.
Resolution scheduled for January
The figures appeared in a report published on Oct 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. The contract resolves on January 1, 2027.
The supplied summary does not include the contract’s resolution criteria or identify what evidence would qualify for a positive outcome. Those details cannot be established from the reported price, volume and open interest alone.
What it means for prediction markets
- The 1.3 percent price and leading lifetime volume show that substantial trading activity can coexist with a low market-implied probability.
- The 66.8 million dollars in lifetime volume should not be confused with the 982,000 dollars in open interest.
- January 1, 2027 is the stated resolution date, but the supplied material does not establish how the outcome will be adjudicated.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
- Publisher
- https://predictionbubbles.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
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