Kalshi odds of Jeremiah Smith winning the Heisman Trophy rise to 42 percent
Kalshi traders raised Jeremiah Smith to 42 percent in the Heisman Trophy winner market, up 3 points in 24 hours. The market has 2.5 million dollars in lifetime volume and 1.6 million dollars in open interest.
Jeremiah Smith’s implied probability of winning the Heisman Trophy reached 42 percent on Kalshi, according to PredictionBubbles. That represents an increase of 3 percentage points over 24 hours.
The figures were reported on Oct 31, 2026, at 8:00 AM ET. They capture a shift in traders’ pricing, rather than an award result.
Market activity
The Heisman Trophy winner market has recorded 2.5 million dollars in lifetime trading volume, according to PredictionBubbles. Open interest stands at 1.6 million dollars.
Those totals describe activity and outstanding exposure across the market. The supplied report does not identify how much of either figure is tied specifically to Smith, or explain what prompted his price increase.
What it means for prediction markets
- Smith’s 42 percent implied probability reflects a 3-percentage-point gain in 24 hours, but remains below 50 percent.
- Lifetime volume of 2.5 million dollars and open interest of 1.6 million dollars provide distinct measures of market participation; neither establishes the cause of the move.
- Without prices for other contenders, the report does not establish Smith’s ranking within the market.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
- Publisher
- https://predictionbubbles.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PredictionBubbles”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Nevada Governor winner: Aaron Ford priced at 76% on Kalshi, on $324K traded in 24 hours
- Indianapolis vs Jacksonville: Spread is among the most traded sports markets in the last 24 hours at $516K, with Jacksonville -9.5 priced at 53c on Kalshi
- US confirming aliens exist before 2027 is the most traded tech market at 4.5 percent on Kalshi with 29.8 million dollars traded, PredictionBubbles reports
- Kalshi opens average gas price markets: above $4.00 priced at 49% and above $3.80 at 87%
- NFL MVP Winner: Josh Allen priced at 31% on Kalshi, ahead of Joe Burrow at 18%
- Andrew Novak winning the VidantaWorld Mexico Open rises 27 points to 29 percent on Kalshi in seven days with 794,000 dollars traded in 24 hours, DeFi Rate reports