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Smith leads Kalshi’s Heisman field with Mensah nine percentage points behind

DeFi Rate lists Jeremiah Smith as the Heisman favorite on Kalshi ahead of Darian Mensah at 29 percent, with 111,000 dollars traded in the market.

Jeremiah Smith has the highest implied probability of winning the Heisman Trophy on Kalshi at 38 percent, according to DeFi Rate.

Darian Mensah follows at 29 percent. That puts the two contenders nine percentage points apart in the reported pricing.

Pricing and trading activity

DeFi Rate lists $111,000 traded in the market. The supplied figures do not break down that activity by contender.

The update, published Nov 7, 2026, at 4:15 PM ET, places Smith ahead without giving him a majority implied probability. It provides no earlier prices for comparison, so it does not establish whether either contender has gained or lost ground.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Favorite, not a majority outcome: Smith’s 38 percent price leads the reported field but remains below 50 percent.
  • A measurable gap: Mensah’s 29 percent implied probability leaves him nine percentage points behind Smith.
  • Limited trading context: The $111,000 traded provides an activity measure, but the supplied information does not establish current liquidity or price momentum.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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