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Vance’s 2028 Kalshi price drops as post-midterm attention shifts

PredictionMarketPicks reports its November 4, 2:05 a.m. EST Kalshi leaderboard priced the JD Vance contract to win the next presidential election at 13 cents, down 7 cents in 24 hours, on about 237,000 contracts traded and about 2.7 million in open interest. The move stood out among the most-traded politics contracts as post-midterm trading shifted toward the 2028 field.

JD Vance’s contract to win the next presidential election traded at 13 cents on Kalshi, down 7 cents over 24 hours, according to PredictionMarketPicks’ November 4 leaderboard.

The snapshot, recorded at 2:05 a.m. EST, showed about 237,000 contracts traded and about 2.7 million in open interest. PredictionMarketPicks published the report on Nov 4, 2026, at 2:30 AM ET.

A notable move in political trading

The decline stood out among the most-traded politics contracts as post-midterm trading turned toward the 2028 presidential field, according to PredictionMarketPicks.

The figures capture a price change alongside trading activity and outstanding positions. The supplied summary does not identify a specific catalyst for Vance’s decline or provide comparable prices for other potential contenders.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Direction: The 7-cent drop to 13 cents marks a lower market price for a Vance victory over the reported 24-hour period.
  • Activity: About 237,000 contracts traded and about 2.7 million in open interest provide context for the move, but do not establish why traders repriced the contract.
  • Timing: The leaderboard is a November 4, 2:05 a.m. EST snapshot—not a subsequent price update or a forecast of the eventual election result.
KalshiElectionsMidtermsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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