Jaguars deliver decisive win after entering kickoff as Kalshi favorites
Kalshi's market recap for the November 1 game shows Jacksonville went into kickoff as an 82 percent favorite and won 42 to 7. The final score settled the Colts against Jaguars game market on the exchange.
Jacksonville’s 42 to 7 victory over the Indianapolis Colts on November 1, 2026, matched the direction of Kalshi’s kickoff pricing, according to the exchange’s market recap.
Kickoff pricing and final result
Kalshi put the Jacksonville Jaguars’ chance of winning at 82 percent when the game began. That made Jacksonville the market favorite, though the price still allowed for an Indianapolis win.
The Jaguars finished with 42 points to the Colts’ 7. The supplied recap provides the kickoff probability and final score, but no intervening prices or game details.
Market settlement
According to Kalshi, the final score settled the exchange’s Colts against Jaguars game market. The recap was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET.
What it means for prediction markets
- The favorite prevailed: Jacksonville’s win aligned with the outcome assigned an 82 percent probability at kickoff.
- Probability is not a margin forecast: The supplied pricing described Jacksonville’s chance of winning, not the size of its eventual victory.
- The evidence is limited: One result cannot establish whether an 82 percent assessment was well calibrated, and the recap supplies no price history for evaluating changes during play.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- Kalshikalshi.com
- Publisher
- https://kalshi.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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