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Jaguars deliver decisive win after entering kickoff as Kalshi favorites

Kalshi's market recap for the November 1 game shows Jacksonville went into kickoff as an 82 percent favorite and won 42 to 7. The final score settled the Colts against Jaguars game market on the exchange.

Jacksonville’s 42 to 7 victory over the Indianapolis Colts on November 1, 2026, matched the direction of Kalshi’s kickoff pricing, according to the exchange’s market recap.

Kickoff pricing and final result

Kalshi put the Jacksonville Jaguars’ chance of winning at 82 percent when the game began. That made Jacksonville the market favorite, though the price still allowed for an Indianapolis win.

The Jaguars finished with 42 points to the Colts’ 7. The supplied recap provides the kickoff probability and final score, but no intervening prices or game details.

Market settlement

According to Kalshi, the final score settled the exchange’s Colts against Jaguars game market. The recap was published on Nov 1, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The favorite prevailed: Jacksonville’s win aligned with the outcome assigned an 82 percent probability at kickoff.
  • Probability is not a margin forecast: The supplied pricing described Jacksonville’s chance of winning, not the size of its eventual victory.
  • The evidence is limited: One result cannot establish whether an 82 percent assessment was well calibrated, and the recap supplies no price history for evaluating changes during play.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    Kalshikalshi.com
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