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Bond casting markets split as Lowden gains ground on Polymarket

RG reports the next James Bond market was the biggest one-day move outside crypto over the 24 hours to Sunday, with Jack Lowden rising 10 points to 46 percent on Polymarket, ahead of Callum Turner at 27 percent and Josh O'Connor at 12 percent. Kalshi prices the same race differently, with Turner at 45 percent, one point ahead of Lowden.

Jack Lowden’s rise in betting on the next James Bond has left Polymarket and Kalshi with different frontrunners. According to RG, Lowden gained 10 points to reach 46 percent on Polymarket over the 24 hours to Sunday.

RG described the next James Bond market as the biggest one-day mover outside crypto during that period. The report was published Nov 2, 2026, at 5:15 AM ET.

Two platforms, different leaders

On Polymarket, Lowden stood ahead of Callum Turner at 27 percent and Josh O'Connor at 12 percent, according to RG. Those prices put Lowden 19 points clear of Turner.

Kalshi’s pricing reversed the order of the top two. Turner was at 45 percent, one point ahead of Lowden—a much narrower gap than on Polymarket.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The platforms lack a shared frontrunner: Polymarket favored Lowden, while Kalshi gave Turner a slight edge.
  • The largest pricing difference concerns Turner: His 45 percent on Kalshi was 18 points above his 27 percent on Polymarket.
  • The move does not establish a casting outcome: The supplied reporting identifies a sharp price change but provides no casting announcement or explanation for the shift.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    RGrg.org
    Publisher
    https://rg.org
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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