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Vance tops Republican nomination betting as platforms show different prices

DeFi Rate ranks the 50-outcome nominee market fourth on its top 50 board, with Polymarket pricing Vance at 38 cents. Marco Rubio is next at 21 cents, followed by Ron DeSantis at 18 cents.

J.D. Vance leads Kalshi’s market for the 2028 Republican presidential nominee at 34 cents, according to DeFi Rate. The market recorded 908,000 dollars in trading over 24 hours.

Nomination market draws activity

DeFi Rate places the 50-outcome nominee market fourth on its top 50 board. Its update was published Nov 6, 2026, at 3:45 PM ET.

Marco Rubio follows Vance at 21 cents, with Ron DeSantis next at 18 cents, according to DeFi Rate. Those prices put Vance ahead of both named rivals, though his contract remains below 50 cents.

Platforms differ on Vance

Polymarket prices Vance at 38 cents, according to DeFi Rate, compared with 34 cents on Kalshi. The figures show a platform-level difference in pricing for the same prospective nominee, rather than a single market consensus.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Vance leads the reported field, but a leading price below 50 cents does not indicate a majority probability of securing the nomination.
  • The 34-cent Kalshi price and 38-cent Polymarket price provide distinct snapshots; the supplied reporting does not explain the difference.
  • The 908,000 dollars traded over 24 hours measures activity in the nominee market, not trading exclusively in Vance’s contract.
  • With 50 outcomes, the market extends beyond Vance, Rubio and DeSantis; the supplied figures do not describe the remaining field.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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