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Bulgarian presidential candidate Iliana Iotova's Polymarket odds fall to 66 percent

PredictionBubbles, reading Polymarket prices on October 31, prices Iliana Iotova at 66.0 percent to win the next Bulgarian presidential election, down 16.5 points in 24 hours. The market has traded 1.3 million dollars over its life, with 209,000 dollars in the last day, and resolves on November 2, 2026.

Iotova’s market probability declines

Iliana Iotova’s implied probability of winning the next Bulgarian presidential election stood at 66.0 percent on Polymarket on October 31, according to PredictionBubbles. That represents a decline of 16.5 percentage points in 24 hours.

The reading still puts Iotova above an even chance of winning, despite the sharp daily move. The supplied report does not identify what drove the decline.

Trading ahead of resolution

According to PredictionBubbles, the market has recorded 1.3 million dollars in trading over its lifetime, including 209,000 dollars in the last day.

The report was published on Oct 31, 2026, at 7:15 AM ET. The market is scheduled to resolve on November 2, 2026; the supplied information does not detail its resolution criteria.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A substantial repricing: The 16.5-percentage-point drop marks a pronounced shift in Iotova’s market-implied prospects, though her probability remains at 66.0 percent.
  • Recent trading activity: The 209,000 dollars traded in the last day provides context for the move, but volume alone does not explain its cause.
  • Resolution is near: November 2, 2026 is the stated resolution date. The reported price is a market probability, not a confirmed election outcome.
PolymarketElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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