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Google and Gemini lead November 30 AI prediction markets

CoinStats reports Google leads at 75 percent on Polymarket in a tech and science market resolving November 30, with 58,000 dollars traded in 24 hours, while Gemini is the favourite on Kalshi at 77 percent for November 30.

November 30 contracts favor Google and Gemini

Google holds a 75 percent probability on Polymarket in an AI model market scheduled to resolve November 30, according to CoinStats. The contract sits in the platform’s tech and science category.

CoinStats also reports that Gemini is the favorite on Kalshi at 77 percent for November 30. The supplied report was published Nov 8, 2026, at 7:00 AM ET.

Trading activity and comparison limits

The Polymarket market recorded 58,000 dollars in trading over 24 hours, according to CoinStats. The supplied summary does not include a corresponding trading figure for Kalshi.

Kalshi’s reported probability is 2 percentage points above Polymarket’s. However, the summary identifies the leading outcomes differently—Google on Polymarket and Gemini on Kalshi—and does not provide the contracts’ full questions or resolution criteria. That limits any direct comparison between the prices.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Both reported probabilities place the named outcomes as favorites for November 30, but neither represents a certain result.
  • The 58,000 dollars in 24-hour trading provides an activity measure for Polymarket; the summary offers no equivalent basis for comparing Kalshi’s activity.
  • The 2-percentage-point gap should be read alongside the missing contract terms, rather than treated as evidence that the platforms price an identical outcome differently.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    CoinStats
    Publisher
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