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Georgia win the College Football Playoff National Championship priced at 16.0% on Kalshi, down 3.0 points, on $3.9M traded

PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Georgia outright title contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has…

Georgia’s Kalshi contract to win the College Football Playoff National Championship was priced at 16.0%, down 3.0 probability points, with $3.9M traded, in the supplied update published Oct 25, 2026 · 12:24 PM ET.

According to PredictionBubbles, the Georgia title contract appeared among declining sports markets on its movers board. The listing was in a separate sports category, rather than the board’s lead story.

How the move is measured

PredictionBubbles ranks changes over 24 hours using probability points, not relative percentage changes. The Georgia decline therefore represents a 3.0-point reduction in its market-implied title probability—not a 3.0% relative drop.

The board draws prices from Kalshi and Polymarket and updates every 15 minutes, according to PredictionBubbles. The supplied page records its venue snapshot as 25 Oct 2026, 16:12 UTC. Its ranking universe covers 1,984 markets lasting longer than 14 days, excluding same-week fixtures.

What the figures leave open

The supplied material does not identify a catalyst for Georgia’s decline. It provides no accompanying team news or explanation linking the repricing to a particular event.

The $3.9M traded figure offers activity context, but the supplied Georgia update does not specify its measurement period or provide order-book depth. PredictionBubbles says trading volume and liquidity do not affect its movers ranking, which is based solely on the size of the probability-point change.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Direction is clear; causation is not. Georgia’s title contract moved lower, but the material does not establish why.
  • Volume and price movement are separate signals. The $3.9M figure alone does not show how much trading drove the 24-hour decline.
  • The reading is time-specific. The 16.0% price reflects the reported update, not a fixed assessment of Georgia’s eventual championship outcome.
PredictionMarketsKalshiPolymarket

Sources & attribution

  1. [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/

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