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Georgia carries 91 percent playoff probability into first committee rankings

Covers reports Kalshi prices Georgia at 91 percent to make the College Football Playoff, with the selection committee set to release its first rankings of 2026 on Tuesday, November 3 at 7 p.m. ET and the final bracket on December 6.

Georgia is priced at 91 percent on Kalshi to reach the College Football Playoff, according to Covers. That places the team firmly on the likely-to-qualify side of the market ahead of the selection committee’s opening rankings.

First rankings arrive Tuesday

The committee is scheduled to unveil its first rankings of 2026 on Tuesday, November 3 at 7 p.m. ET. The Covers report was published on Nov 3, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET, before that release.

The 91 percent figure reflects Kalshi’s market pricing, not a committee decision. Tuesday’s rankings will provide a separate indication of where Georgia stands in the selection process.

Final bracket due December 6

The committee will release the final bracket on December 6, according to Covers. That leaves two distinct milestones for prediction-market readers: the initial rankings and the eventual playoff field.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Strong expectations, not certainty: Georgia’s 91 percent pricing indicates a high implied probability of qualification, while leaving room for a different outcome.
  • An upcoming information point: The November 3 release at 7 p.m. ET will allow readers to compare market expectations with the committee’s initial assessment.
  • Rankings are not the final field: The December 6 bracket announcement remains distinct from Tuesday’s opening rankings.
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