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Donalds and Moody lead Florida prediction markets ahead of November 3

Action Network reports that with two days to go before the November 3 election, Byron Donalds is priced at 70 cents on Polymarket and 69 cents on Kalshi in the Florida governor race, against David Jolly at 32 cents on both exchanges. In the Florida Senate race, Ashley Moody is priced at 90 cents on both exchanges against Angie Nixon at 11 cents.

With two days remaining before the November 3 election, Florida prediction markets favor Byron Donalds for governor and Ashley Moody for Senate, according to Action Network’s November 1, 2026 report, published at 2:15 PM ET.

Governor contracts show a smaller gap

Donalds is priced at 70 cents on Polymarket and 69 cents on Kalshi in the Florida governor race. David Jolly stands at 32 cents on both exchanges, according to Action Network.

The quoted prices put Donalds ahead on each platform. His contract differs by one cent between the exchanges, while Jolly’s price is identical across them.

Senate pricing favors Moody more strongly

In the Florida Senate race, Ashley Moody is priced at 90 cents on both Polymarket and Kalshi. Angie Nixon is at 11 cents on each exchange, Action Network reports.

Those quotes show a wider separation between the Senate candidates than between the governor candidates. Both platforms agree on the reported Senate prices, unlike the slight difference in Donalds’ governor contract.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The reported prices favor Donalds and Moody, but they represent market pricing rather than confirmed election outcomes.
  • Moody’s 90-cent contracts indicate a stronger market preference than Donalds’ 70-cent Polymarket and 69-cent Kalshi contracts.
  • These figures are a snapshot with two days to go before November 3; the supplied report provides no earlier prices from which to establish a trend.
KalshiPolymarketSenateElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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  1. Source
    Action Networkactionnetwork.com
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    https://www.actionnetwork.com
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