Kalshi pandemic odds slip to 5.0% as trading reaches $1.0M
PredictionBubbles' other-markets board, on its Nov. 1 live read at about 3:25 PM ET across 28 open markets, ranks the Pandemic in 2026 contract third among its movers at…
The Pandemic in 2026 contract on Kalshi was priced at 5.0%, down 2.0 percentage points, with $1.0M traded, according to the supplied PredictionBubbles update.
A top-three mover on a 28-market board
PredictionBubbles ranked the contract third among movers on its other-markets board. Its Nov. 1 live reading covered 28 open markets at about 3:25 PM ET.
The accompanying publication timestamp was Nov 1, 2026 · 3:24 PM ET. The supplied material does not specify the comparison period for the 2.0-percentage-point decline.
The excerpt also provides no explanation for the move or details of the contract’s settlement criteria. It therefore establishes a change in market pricing, but not its cause or the precise conditions required for a payout.
What it means for prediction markets
- The 5.0% price reflects the contract’s market-implied likelihood, rather than an independent assessment of pandemic risk.
- The $1.0M traded and third-place mover ranking provide activity and relative-movement context; neither explains why the price fell.
- Without settlement criteria or a stated comparison window, readers cannot fully assess the event definition or the pace of the repricing.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source 1
- Kalshikalshi.com
- Publisher
- https://kalshi.com/markets
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
- Source 2
- PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
- Publisher
- https://predictionbubbles.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
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