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December Fed market ranks third with $220.2 million in volume

LunarCrush ranks the December Fed decision behind only the Super Bowl champion and 2028 Democratic nominee markets by total volume across Polymarket and Kalshi. The Super Bowl market leads at 628.8 million dollars, followed by the Democratic nominee market at 350.9 million dollars.

The December Fed decision market has recorded $220.2 million in total volume across Polymarket and Kalshi, placing it third in LunarCrush’s ranking, according to LunarCrush.

Only the Super Bowl champion and 2028 Democratic nominee markets rank ahead of it. The figures put the Fed decision behind two markets focused on sports and politics.

How the leading markets compare

The Super Bowl champion market holds the top position with $628.8 million in total volume, according to LunarCrush. The 2028 Democratic nominee market follows with $350.9 million.

The ranking, reported on Oct 31, 2026, at 7:30 PM ET, measures total volume across the two platforms. The supplied summary does not include a platform-by-platform breakdown or probabilities for any of the outcomes.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The December Fed decision ranks as the third most active market by the stated volume measure, behind the Super Bowl champion and 2028 Democratic nominee markets.
  • The $220.2 million total reflects trading activity, not the probability of a particular Fed decision.
  • Without outcome prices or separate Polymarket and Kalshi figures, the ranking alone cannot establish traders’ expected decision or differences between the platforms.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    LunarCrush
    Publisher
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