Polymarket Ethereum ladder assigns 83 percent to weekly $2,400 dip
The same weekly ladder prices Ethereum reaching 2,500 dollars at 51 percent. Alpha Finance ranks the market among the largest crypto markets on its Polymarket screener by 24-hour volume.
Alpha Finance’s Nov 5, 2026 · 6:45 AM ET update puts the Polymarket probability of Ethereum dipping to $2,400 during November 2–8 at 83 percent. The market recorded $221,000 in trading over 24 hours.
Two levels in the weekly ladder
The same weekly ladder assigns a 51 percent probability to Ethereum reaching $2,500, according to Alpha Finance. The two quoted probabilities are 32 percentage points apart.
The summary describes the $2,400 outcome as a dip and the $2,500 outcome as reaching that level. It does not provide the contracts’ full settlement terms, limiting how directly readers can compare those probabilities.
Volume places market among larger crypto listings
Alpha Finance ranks the market among the largest crypto markets on its Polymarket screener when measured by 24-hour volume. The summary does not specify its exact rank or provide volumes for competing markets.
The figures offer a snapshot of pricing and activity for the November 2–8 window. No earlier probability readings are supplied, so they do not establish whether expectations shifted before the update.
What it means for prediction markets
- The quoted 83 percent and 51 percent probabilities reflect pricing for two levels within the same weekly Ethereum ladder, not confirmed price outcomes.
- The $221,000 in 24-hour volume establishes trading activity, but the summary provides no information about liquidity or spreads.
- Settlement terms matter: without the full rules, readers cannot determine precisely how the “dip” and “reaching” conditions relate.
Sources & attribution
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