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Kalshi gives Slotkin an 8 percent chance in Senate leadership market

Kalshi opened a market on Elissa Slotkin winning the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress about 11 hours ago, priced at 8 percent with 3,000 dollars traded, according to the PredictionBubbles new-markets board.

Opening price and activity

A Kalshi market on Elissa Slotkin winning the U.S. Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress was priced at 8 percent, according to the PredictionBubbles new-markets board.

The board showed 3,000 dollars traded. That figure describes trading activity in the contract, rather than a separate measure of Slotkin’s prospects.

Timing and scope

The market had opened about 11 hours before the report, which was published on Nov 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The quoted price therefore reflects an early snapshot of trading.

The contract concerns Slotkin winning the Senate Majority Leader election for the 120th Congress. The supplied summary does not include the contract’s settlement criteria, a price history or prices for other potential contenders.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 8 percent price indicates a low market-implied likelihood of the specified outcome, not a confirmed leadership result.
  • With 3,000 dollars traded, the snapshot establishes activity but does not show how broadly participation was distributed.
  • Without earlier prices or comparable contracts, the report does not establish a trend or Slotkin’s relative standing among potential contenders.
KalshiSenateCongressElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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