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Davis proposes election trading restrictions after opponent’s Kalshi settlement

TheAgentBets reports Rep. Don Davis introduced the No Betting on Your Own Race Act on October 5, barring congressional candidates and their families from trading contracts tied to their own elections. The bill follows Kalshi's enforcement against Davis's Republican opponent Laurie Buckhout, who settled for just under 2,600 dollars and accepted a three-year suspension after trading on her own candidacy.

Rep. Don Davis introduced the No Betting on Your Own Race Act on October 5, seeking to bar congressional candidates and their families from trading contracts linked to their own elections, according to TheAgentBets.

The proposed penalty would be 10,000 dollars or three times the gain, TheAgentBets reports. The measure would place a legal restriction on candidates’ participation in prediction markets covering their own contests.

Kalshi enforcement precedes the proposal

The bill follows Kalshi’s enforcement action against Laurie Buckhout, Davis’s Republican opponent, over trading on her own candidacy, according to TheAgentBets.

Buckhout settled for just under 2,600 dollars and accepted a three-year suspension. That outcome reflects an exchange enforcement action; Davis’s proposal would establish a prohibition covering congressional candidates and their families.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Eligibility to trade: The proposed restriction targets candidates and their families trading contracts tied to their own congressional elections, rather than election-market participants generally.
  • Separate enforcement tracks: Buckhout’s settlement concerns Kalshi’s enforcement, while the bill seeks a legal restriction with a proposed monetary penalty.
  • Legislative status matters: TheAgentBets reports the bill’s introduction, not its enactment. The proposal should not be treated as an existing ban.
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