Dancing with the Stars Week 2: Polymarket and Kalshi disagree on the frontrunner

A narrow lead on Polymarket

Polymarket and Kalshi offer different assessments of the Dancing with the Stars winner race in Week 2, according to Action Network. The clearest reported divide concerns Harry Shum Jr., whose Polymarket price is 16 percentage points above his Kalshi price.

On Polymarket, Harry Shum Jr. and Jenna Johnson are the leading pair at 32%. Ezra Frech follows at 30%, while Maura Higgins stands at 24%.

Those figures put Shum only narrowly ahead of Frech on Polymarket. His first-place position on that platform therefore comes with a close challenger, rather than a substantial cushion.

The supplied summary does not identify Kalshi’s frontrunner or provide its full winner rankings. It establishes a sizable cross-platform difference for Shum, but does not explain what is driving that gap.

What it means for prediction markets

• Platform matters: Shum’s 16-percentage-point pricing gap means Polymarket’s assessment should not be presented as a market-wide consensus.
• The Polymarket race remains close: Prices of 32% for Shum and Johnson and 30% for Frech show little separation between the top two entries.
• The comparison is incomplete: Without Kalshi’s full rankings, the available figures cannot establish how the platforms differ on Frech, Higgins or the rest of the field.