Polymarket puts November WTI threshold odds at 70.5 percent
Polymarket opened a market on WTI crude oil hitting a high of 95 dollars in November three days ago, priced at 70.5 percent, down 1.5 points in 24 hours with 11,000 dollars traded, according to the PredictionBubbles new-markets board.
A Polymarket contract on WTI crude oil reaching a November high of 95 dollars was priced at 70.5 percent, according to the PredictionBubbles new-markets board.
The snapshot was published on Nov 8, 2026, at 5:15 AM ET. The market had opened three days earlier.
Price eases in early trading
The contract’s price declined 1.5 points over 24 hours, according to PredictionBubbles. That left its implied probability above 70 percent despite the downward move.
Trading totaled 11,000 dollars. The supplied summary gives no further price history or details about how trading volume was distributed.
What it means for prediction markets
- The 70.5 percent price reflects market-implied odds for the November threshold, not certainty that WTI will reach 95 dollars.
- The 1.5-point daily decline indicates lower pricing for that outcome over the reported 24 hours; the summary does not identify a cause.
- With the contract only three days old, the supplied figures offer a limited view of its trading history.
Sources & attribution
- Published
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- PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
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- https://predictionbubbles.com
- Source URL
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