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Kristersson gains sharply as Sweden leadership contracts await settlement

PredictionBubbles lists the Sweden prime minister market among the biggest political movers of the last 24 hours, with the contract on Magdalena Andersson falling 23 points to 51 percent on 3.1 million dollars traded. Both contracts are shown as awaiting settlement.

The Polymarket contract on Ulf Kristersson becoming Sweden’s next Prime Minister rose 24.5 points to 47.9 percent, according to PredictionBubbles. The contract had 2.3 million dollars traded.

Sweden contracts move in opposite directions

PredictionBubbles placed the Sweden prime minister market among the largest political movers over the last 24 hours in its update published Nov 6, 2026, at 4:00 PM ET.

The contract on Magdalena Andersson moved sharply lower, falling 23 points to 51 percent, with 3.1 million dollars traded. Despite that decline, its listed probability remained above Kristersson’s.

Settlement remains pending

Both contracts were shown as awaiting settlement, according to PredictionBubbles. The supplied summary identifies no catalyst for the price changes and provides no settlement outcome.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The opposing moves brought the two listed probabilities closer together, with Andersson still ahead at 51 percent versus Kristersson at 47.9 percent.
  • Reported trading totals were higher for Andersson’s contract: 3.1 million dollars compared with 2.3 million dollars for Kristersson’s.
  • Pending settlement distinguishes these market prices from a confirmed outcome; the update does not establish which contract will resolve successfully.
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