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Kalshi temperature contract climbs 67 points to 97 percent

The Kalshi weather contract on the November 6 maximum temperature landing in the 83 to 84 degree band is priced at 97 percent, up 67 points. It has traded 46,400 dollars, according to PredictMarketCap.

According to PredictMarketCap, the Kalshi contract tied to a November 6 maximum temperature of 83 to 84 degrees is priced at 97 percent, a gain of 67 points.

The update, published November 6, 2026, at 4:15 PM ET, puts the narrow temperature band at a high market-implied probability. That price is not confirmation of the eventual outcome.

Trading activity and missing context

The contract has recorded 46,400 dollars in trading, according to PredictMarketCap. The summary does not specify the period over which the 67-point increase occurred.

The supplied material also does not identify the location, temperature scale or settlement criteria. Those omissions limit what can be concluded about the weather event beyond the reported price and trading activity.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Substantial repricing: The 67-point rise signals a marked shift toward the 83 to 84 degree outcome, though the summary does not explain the catalyst.
  • Price versus resolution: A 97 percent price reflects market expectations, not a settled result.
  • Limited market context: The 46,400 dollars traded establishes activity, but the supplied information does not show current liquidity or the contract’s resolution terms.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictMarketCap
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