Contract on the Federal Reserve making no change at the December 2026 meeting rises 11 points to 34 percent on Kalshi and 32 percent on Polymarket, Rivo reports
Rivo lists the no change outcome for the December 2026 Federal Reserve decision up 11 points across both venues, while a 25 basis point hike is priced at 68 percent on both Kalshi and Polymarket, down 12 points. The figures come from the updated November 6 Kalshi odds board.
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