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Polymarket puts 2026 Clarity Act enactment odds at 2.5 percent

The contract on the Clarity Act, H.R. 3633, being signed into law in 2026 is priced at 2.5 percent on Polymarket. The price is down 0.1 points in 24 hours, with 25.0 million dollars traded in total.

According to PredictionBubbles, the Polymarket contract on whether the Clarity Act, H.R. 3633, will be signed into law in 2026 is priced at 2.5 percent.

The update was published on Nov 8, 2026, at 2:45 AM ET. The contract’s price was down 0.1 points in 24 hours.

Low odds alongside substantial trading

Total trading in the contract reached 25.0 million dollars, according to PredictionBubbles. That figure measures cumulative activity, rather than trading during the latest 24-hour period.

The reported price reflects a low market-implied likelihood of enactment within 2026. The supplied summary does not identify a legislative development or other catalyst behind the latest decline.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The deadline defines the question: The contract concerns the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026, not its prospects beyond that year.
  • The latest move was modest: A decline of 0.1 points left the reported price at 2.5 percent.
  • Volume is not certainty: The 25.0 million dollars traded shows cumulative market activity; it does not establish whether the contract’s implied probability is accurate.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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